Probability can move you forward, that is my starting assertion. I’m not meaning standard probability of things happening again. The frequency of events. But associative probability. The sense of probability of connected words or things are true. Like an A.I connected word function or thesaurus.
What if you reflected upon your ideas. Transform that idea process into a sequence of guesses. With that you would have gained lots of guess experience. This is a guess of its own. But it could have a high Return Of Investment. You learn to make guesses.
A probable theory can have some truth value. Since it can help generate lots of guesses with some truth connected to it.
So probability guesses can move you forward. That is. Guesses that you know are true for a single circumstance but you also use it for other things.